Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 3 - 4 Freiburg
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Johan Manzambi

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Albert Sambi Lokonga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw has a probability of 23.48% and a win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.94%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it is 1-2 (5.8%).

Result

Freiburg 54.74%
Draw 23.48%
Hamburger SV 21.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.56%
Under 1.5 22.44%
Over 2.5 54.54%
Under 2.5 45.46%
Over 3.5 31.67%
Under 3.5 68.33%
Over 4.5 19.01%
Under 4.5 80.99%

First Half Winner

Freiburg 42.44%
Draw 36.07%
Hamburger SV 21.49%

Team To Score First

Freiburg 58.32%
No Goal 6.16%
Hamburger SV 35.52%

Corners

Over 8 61.72%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 26.82%
Over 9 49.65%
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 38.28%
Over 10.5 38.05%
Under 10.5 61.95%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 52.31%
Under 1.5 47.69%
Over 2.5 26.31%
Under 2.5 73.69%
Over 3.5 10.79%
Under 3.5 89.21%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 58.06%
Under 0.5 41.94%
Over 1.5 25.57%
Under 1.5 74.43%
Over 2.5 8.68%
Under 2.5 91.32%
Over 3.5 2.45%
Under 3.5 97.55%

Score analysis

Freiburg 54.75%
Draw 23.48%
Hamburger SV 21.79%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 10.08%
2-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 5.53%
3-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 10.56%
Total : 54.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.48%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 21.79%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Oct 30, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Matthias Ginter 19' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 44' goal
  • goal Jonas Meffert 51'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Jan 13, 2023 2.00pm
6
2
HT : 4 2
FT TBC
  • Vincenzo Grifo 7' goal
  • Manuel Gulde 10' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 12' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 14' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 87' goal
  • Nils Petersen 107' goal
  • goal Robert Glatzel 4'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 32'
DFB-Pokal
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Jonas Meffert 37' yellowcard
  • Ludovit Reis 48' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Kaufmann 75' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 88' goal
  • Moritz Heyer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Nils Petersen 11'
  • goal Nicolas Hofler 17'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 35'
  • yellowcard Christian Gunter 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 63'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 72'
  • yellowcard Noah Weisshaupt 90'+3'
Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2018 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
  • Matti Steinmann 43' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 54' goal
  • Albin Ekdal 82' yellowcard
  • Gideon Jung 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 5'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 58'
  • redcard Caglar Soyuncu 71'
Bundesliga
Dec 1, 2017 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
  • Pascal Stenzel 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dennis Diekmeier 57'
  • yellowcard Bobby Wood 62'
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 84'
Bundesliga
Feb 18, 2017 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aaron Hunt 15' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 57' goal
  • Filip Kostic 62' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hunt 68' yellowcard
  • Johan Djourou 74' yellowcard
  • goal Maximilian Philipp 23'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Philipp 36'
  • yellowcard Janik Haberer 56'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 72'