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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 42% | 23.1% | 34.89% |
| Both teams to score 64.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.24% | 36.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% | 58.93% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% | 18.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.85% Total : 42% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.9% |