Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Grischa Promel 8' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 31' goal
  • Tim Lemperle 65' goal
  • Fisnik Asllani 72' goal
  • Grischa Promel 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ransford Konigsdorffer 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 67'
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 77'
  • goal Rayan Philippe 82'

Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 4.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Hoffenheim 42%
Draw 23.1%
Hamburger SV 34.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.51%

Goals

Over 2.5 63.24%
Under 2.5 36.76%
Over 3.5 41.07%
Under 3.5 58.93%
Over 4.5 23%
Under 4.5 76.99%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 81.98%
Under 0.5 18.02%
Over 1.5 51.1%
Under 1.5 48.9%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 78.69%
Under 0.5 21.31%
Over 1.5 45.74%
Under 1.5 54.26%

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 42%
Draw 23.1%
Hamburger SV 34.9%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.84%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.1%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 34.9%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Apr 14, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena (Sinsheim)
  • Serge Gnabry 18' goal
  • Adam Szalai 27' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 51'
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 85'
Bundesliga
Nov 26, 2017 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
  • Kevin Akpoguma 6' goal
  • Filip Kostic 75' goal
  • Gideon Jung 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 29'
  • yellowcard Mark Uth 61'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 74'
Bundesliga
Apr 8, 2017 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aaron Hunt 25' goal
  • Filip Kostic 40' yellowcard
  • Walace Souza Silva 51' yellowcard
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 68' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hunt 75' goal
  • Dennis Diekmeier 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 32'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 36'
  • yellowcard Steven Zuber 62'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Hubner 82'
Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2016 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ermin Bicakcic 40' yellowcard
  • Sandro Wagner 45' goal
  • Steven Zuber 49' goal
  • yellowcard Gotoku Sakai 16'
  • goal Filip Kostic 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Muller 42'
  • goal Nicolai Muller 61'
Bundesliga
Mar 19, 2016 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Rene Adler 19' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hunt 29' goal
  • Matthias Ostrzolek 35' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 70' yellowcard
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 19'
  • goal Kevin Volland 23'
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 49'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 67'
Bundesliga
Oct 23, 2015 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ermin Bicakcic 11' yellowcard
  • Ermin Bicakcic 68' redcard
  • Eugen Polanski 80' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 26'
  • yellowcard Matthias Ostrzolek 57'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 77'
  • yellowcard Sven Schipplock 84'
  • goal Pierre-Michel Lasogga 88'