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Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
 
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4-1

Promel (8'), Kabak (31'), Lemperle (65'), Asllani (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Philippe (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV
Saturday, December 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Stuttgart vs. Hoffenheim
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV
Saturday, December 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Hamburger SV vs. Frankfurt
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawHamburger SV
42%23.1%34.89%
Both teams to score 64.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24%36.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07%58.93%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98%18.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1%48.9%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69%21.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74%54.26%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 42%
    Hamburger SV 34.9%
    Draw 23.1%
HoffenheimDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 42%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.84%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.9%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2018 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-0
Hamburger SV
Gnabry (18'), Szalai (27')
Amiri (65')

Santos (51'), Jung (85')
Nov 26, 2017 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
3-0
Hoffenheim
Akpoguma (6' og.), Kostic (75'), Jung (88')

Vogt (29'), Uth (61'), Grillitsch (74')
Apr 8, 2017 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
Hoffenheim
Hunt (25', 75')
Kostic (40'), Souza Silva (51'), Papadopoulos (68'), Diekmeier (82')
Kramaric (35' pen.)
Rudy (32'), Kramaric (36'), Zuber (62'), Hubner (82')
Nov 20, 2016 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-2
Hamburger SV
Wagner (45'), Zuber (49')
Bicakcic (40')
Kostic (28'), Muller (61')
Sakai (16'), Muller (42')
Mar 19, 2016 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-3
Hoffenheim
Hunt (29' pen.)
Adler (19'), Ostrzolek (35'), Holtby (70')
Kramaric (19' pen.), Volland (23'), Vargas (67')
Kaderabek (49')