Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.