Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.