Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Union Berlin vs Mainz - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Union Berlin vs Mainz - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 09 Jan 2026 09:51

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

D
W
W
L
L
L

Bundesliga

W
W
L
L
W
D

Last game

Dec 20, 2025 2.30pm

FC Koln 0 - 1 Union Berlin

Goals scored

20

Top scorer

Rani Khedira

Mainz 05

All competitions

D
W
D
D
L
L

Bundesliga

D
D
L
L
D
L

Last game

Dec 21, 2025 2.30pm

Mainz 0 - 0 St Pauli

Goals scored

15

Top scorer

Kacper Potulski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 29.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Union Berlin 44.97%

Draw 25.84%

Mainz 05 29.19%

Both Teams to Score:

51.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.77%

Under 1.5 27.23%

Over 2.5 47.9%

Under 2.5 52.1%

Over 3.5 27.06%

Under 3.5 72.94%

Over 4.5 15.28%

Under 4.5 84.72%

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 31.58%

Draw 41.73%

Mainz 05 26.69%

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 49%

No Goal 7.76%

Mainz 05 43.24%

Corners

Over 8 57.88%

Equal 8 11.52%

Under 8 30.61%

Over 9 46.14%

Equal 9 11.74%

Under 9 42.12%

Over 10.5 35.18%

Under 10.5 64.82%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 41.66%

Under 1.5 58.34%

Over 2.5 17.99%

Under 2.5 82.01%

Over 3.5 6.25%

Under 3.5 93.75%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 62.27%

Under 0.5 37.73%

Over 1.5 29.74%

Under 1.5 70.26%

Over 2.5 11.01%

Under 2.5 88.99%

Over 3.5 3.66%

Under 3.5 96.34%

Score analysis

Union Berlin 44.97%

Draw 25.84%

Mainz 05 29.18%

Union Berlin

1-0 @ 11.43%

2-1 @ 8.38%

2-0 @ 8.35%

3-1 @ 4.19%

3-0 @ 4.04%

3-2 @ 2.44%

Other @ 6.14%

Total : 44.97%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.93%

0-0 @ 7.76%

2-2 @ 4.97%

3-3 @ 1.07%

Other @ 0.11%

Total : 25.84%

Mainz 05

0-1 @ 8.03%

1-2 @ 6.73%

0-2 @ 4.59%

1-3 @ 2.63%

2-3 @ 1.97%

0-3 @ 1.68%

Other @ 3.55%

Total : 29.18%

Head to Head

Jan 19, 2025 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Nadiem Amiri 5'
Robert Skov 24'
Aljoscha Kemlein 32'
Leopold Querfeld 86'

Benedict Hollerbach 1'
Anthony Caci 26'
Stefan Bell 32'

Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Mewa Arena

Dominik Kohr 7'
Nadiem Amiri 53'

Lucas Tousart 45'+3'
Danilho Doekhi 52'
Laszlo Benes 74'
Robin Gosens 90'+8'

Feb 7, 2024 5.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Mewa Arena

Ludovic Ajorque 15'
Jonathan Burkardt 45'+8'
Dominik Kohr 89'

Kevin Vogt 53'
Robin Gosens 45'+13'
Diogo Leite 79'
Janik Haberer 84'
Danilho Doekhi 89'

Aug 20, 2023 2.30pm

4

1

HT : 2 0

FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Kevin Behrens 1'
Kevin Behrens 9'
Kevin Behrens 10'
Kevin Behrens 70'
Milos Pantovic 90'+6'

Lee Jae-sung 31'
Dominik Kohr 51'
Danny da Costa 58'
Anthony Caci 64'
Leandro Barreiro 79'
Sepp van den Berg 90'+1'
Bo Svensson 90'+90'

Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Kevin Behrens 32'
Theoson Siebatcheu 84'

Marcus Ingvartsen 79'

Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Karim Onisiwo 5'

Form Data

Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 0 Union Berlin

FC Koln 0 - 1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig

Wolfsburg 3 - 1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin 2 - 3 Bayern

Union Berlin 1 - 2 Heidenheim

Mainz 0 - 0 St Pauli

Mainz 2 - 0 Samsunspor

Bayern 2 - 2 Mainz

Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Mainz

Mainz 0 - 1 Borussia M'bach

Freiburg 4 - 0 Mainz