Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Willi Orban 53' goal
  • Willi Orbán 53' goal
  • Romulo Cardoso 56' goal
  • Rômulo 56' goal
  • Antonio Nusa 60' yellowcard
  • Yan Diomande 60' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 74' yellowcard
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 88' yellowcard
  • El Chadaille Bitshiabu 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Grifo 55'
  • yellowcard Igor Matanovic 65'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 65'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 65'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 85'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 85'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 86'

RB Leipzig vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 5.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Johan Manzambi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 49.37%
Draw 23.37%
Freiburg 27.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.44%
Under 1.5 20.56%
Over 2.5 57.63%
Under 2.5 42.37%
Over 3.5 36.7%
Under 3.5 63.3%
Over 4.5 22.2%
Under 4.5 77.8%

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 35.04%
Draw 38.56%
Freiburg 26.4%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 52.95%
No Goal 5.32%
Freiburg 41.73%

Corners

Over 8 61.63%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 27.33%
Over 9 50.04%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 38.37%
Over 10.5 38.87%
Under 10.5 61.13%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 50.43%
Under 1.5 49.57%
Over 2.5 25.22%
Under 2.5 74.78%
Over 3.5 10.02%
Under 3.5 89.98%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 63.86%
Under 0.5 36.14%
Over 1.5 32.45%
Under 1.5 67.55%
Over 2.5 12.87%
Under 2.5 87.13%
Over 3.5 4.4%
Under 3.5 95.6%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 49.37%
Draw 23.37%
Freiburg 27.3%
RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 9.84%
Total : 49.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-1 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 27.3%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 50'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 63'
  • yellowcard David Raum 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Chukwubuike Adamu 38' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 47' goal
  • Lutsharel Geertruida 58' goal
  • Lois Openda 79' goal
  • Lois Openda 88' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ritsu Doan 15'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 46'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 59' goal
  • Lucas Holer 64' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Amadou Haidara 2'
  • goal Lois Openda 18'
  • goal Lois Openda 44'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 54'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 64'
  • yellowcard David Raum 68'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 73'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 75'
  • yellowcard Ritsu Doan 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Xavi Simons 6' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 62' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 63' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 79' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 80' goal
  • goal Merlin Rohl 45'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kevin Kampl 73'
DFB-Pokal
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Michael Gregoritsch 75' goal
  • goal Dani Olmo 13'
  • goal Benjamin Henrichs 14'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 37'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 45'+1'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+7'