Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.