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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.33%) and 3-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 51.15% ( | 21.42% ( | 27.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.71% ( | 32.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.1% ( | 53.89% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( | 13.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.39% ( | 39.61% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( | 57.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-3 @ 2.2% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.44% |