Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Xaver Schlager 35' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 30'
  • goal Martin Terrier 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 44'
  • yellowcard Axel Tape-Kobrissa 87'
  • goal Montrell Amare Culbreath 90'+7'

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2025 7.30pm
Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Martin Terrier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.33%) and 3-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 51.15% (-0.01)
Draw 21.42% (-0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen 27.44% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.61% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.71% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 32.28% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 46.1% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 53.89% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 27.25% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 72.75% (-0.24)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 86.95% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 13.04% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 60.39% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 39.61% (-0.17)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 76.6% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 23.4% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 42.61% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 57.38% (-0.22)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 51.15%
Draw 21.42%
Bayer Leverkusen 27.44%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 4.53% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 51.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.42%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • David Raum 41' goal
  • Xavi Simons 79' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 88' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 18'
  • goal Aleix Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 40'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 42'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Victor Boniface 12' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 18' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 39' goal
  • Alex Grimaldo 45' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Marco Rose 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 26'
  • goal Kevin Kampl 45'+7'
  • goal Lois Openda 57'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 61'
  • goal Lois Openda 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Xavi Simons 7' goal
  • Lois Openda 56' goal
  • Xavi Simons 71' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 12'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 38'
  • goal Nathan Tella 47'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 66'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Jeremie Frimpong 24' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 35' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 64' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 69' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 62'
  • goal Lois Openda 71'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Hlozek 40' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 86' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 32' goal
  • Timo Werner 83' goal