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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Leverkusen logo

vs.

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen has a probability of 27.37% and a draw has a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.37%) and 1-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.07%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
51.18% (-0.752 -0.75)21.45% (-0.087 -0.09)27.37% (0.839 0.84)
Both teams to score 66.42% (1.144 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.5% (1.164 1.16)32.5% (-1.162 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.85% (1.336 1.34)54.14% (-1.335 -1.33)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (0.173 0.17)13.11% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (0.353 0.35)39.74% (-0.353 -0.35)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (1.167 1.17)23.55% (-1.166 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (1.657 1.66)57.61% (-1.656 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 51.18%
    Bayer Leverkusen 27.37%
    Draw 21.45%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.51% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.11% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.18%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.37%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
gameweek 19
RB Leipzig
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Raum (41'), Tapsoba (85' og.)
Simons (79'), Baumgartner (88')
Schick (18'), Garcia (36')
Andrich (40'), Tapsoba (42')
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
2-3
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (39'), Grimaldo (45')
Boniface (12'), Frimpong (18'), Tapsoba (82')
Kampl (45+7'), Openda (57', 80')
Rose (26'), Klostermann (61')
Rose (26')
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
gameweek 29
B. Leverkusen
2-0
RB Leipzig
Hlozek (40'), Amiri (86' pen.)