Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.73% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.63%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.