/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fkollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
-
Kristoffer Lund
46'
-
Ragnar Ache
46'
-
Tom Krauß
46'
-
Ragnar Ache
57'
-
Luca Waldschmidt
73'
-
Jan Thielmann
83'
-
Ragnar Ache
85'
-
Dominic van Hoof
29'
-
Armindo Sieb
61'
-
William Bøving
74'
-
Lennard Maloney
74'
-
Arnaud Nordin
90'
-
Fabio Moreno Fell
90'
FC Koln vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Flukas-kwasniok-2-6932105bb208a122622394.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for FC Koln has a probability of 34.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest FC Koln win is 1-0 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).
Result
FC Koln
34.67%
▼
(-4.93)
Draw
24.89%
▼
(-0.83)
Mainz 05
40.42%
▲
(+5.74)
Both Teams to Score:
57.07%
▼
(-1.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.32%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
22.68%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
53.92%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
46.08%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 3.5
32.38%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
67.62%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
18.68%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
81.32%
▼
(-0.23)
First Half Winner
FC Koln
34.3%
Draw
38.99%
Mainz 05
26.71%
Team To Score First
FC Koln
51.51%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
5.93%
▼
(-0.09)
Mainz 05
42.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
15.07%
▼
(-40.40)
Equal 8
5.97%
▼
(-5.54)
Under 8
78.96%
▲
(+45.94)
Over 9
11.03%
▼
(-32.92)
Equal 9
4.04%
▼
(-7.48)
Under 9
84.93%
▲
(+40.41)
Over 10.5
8.35%
▼
(-24.99)
Under 10.5
91.65%
▲
(+25.00)
FC Koln Goals
Over 1.5
36.97%
▼
(-4.51)
Under 1.5
63.03%
▲
(+4.51)
Over 2.5
15.59%
▼
(-2.77)
Under 2.5
84.41%
▲
(+2.76)
Over 3.5
5.46%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 3.5
94.54%
▲
(+1.20)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
73.04%
▲
(+3.34)
Under 0.5
26.96%
▼
(-3.33)
Over 1.5
41.66%
▲
(+4.35)
Under 1.5
58.34%
▼
(-4.35)
Over 2.5
18.2%
▲
(+3.36)
Under 2.5
81.8%
▼
(-3.36)
Over 3.5
6.65%
▲
(+1.74)
Under 3.5
93.35%
▼
(-1.74)
Score analysis
FC Koln
34.67%
Draw
24.89%
Mainz 05
40.41%
FC Koln
1-0
@
7.96%
▼
(-0.77)
2-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.70)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.83)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.65)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.51)
Other @ 5.27% ▼ (-1.19)
Total : 34.67%
2-1 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.70)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.83)
3-1 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.65)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.51)
Other @ 5.27% ▼ (-1.19)
Total : 34.67%
Draw
1-1
@
11.53%
▼
(-0.33)
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.89%
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.89%
Mainz 05
0-1
@
8.76%
▲
(+0.65)
1-2 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+1.13)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.69)
0-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.97)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 6.46% ▲ (+1.75)
Total : 40.41%
1-2 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.48)
0-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+1.13)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.69)
0-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.97)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 6.46% ▲ (+1.75)
Total : 40.41%
