Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Silvan Widmer 30' goal
  • Kacper Potulski 34' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 48' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 49' goal
  • Paul Nebel 59' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Nordin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sirlord Conteh 46'
  • yellowcard Adrian Beck 58'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schimmer 58'
  • goal Stefan Schimmer 60'
  • yellowcard Mathias Honsak 75'
  • yellowcard Yannik Wagner 81'

Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Nadiem Amiri

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Stefan Schimmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (6.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 49.15%
Draw 24.42%
Heidenheim 26.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.44%
Under 1.5 22.56%
Over 2.5 53.77%
Under 2.5 46.23%
Over 3.5 31.32%
Under 3.5 68.68%
Over 4.5 17.68%
Under 4.5 82.32%

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 39.64%
Draw 39.64%
Heidenheim 20.72%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 59.34%
No Goal 5.86%
Heidenheim 34.8%

Corners

Over 8 56.61%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 31.75%
Over 9 44.86%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 43.39%
Over 10.5 33.97%
Under 10.5 66.03%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 48.26%
Under 1.5 51.74%
Over 2.5 22.66%
Under 2.5 77.34%
Over 3.5 8.48%
Under 3.5 91.52%

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 63.15%
Under 0.5 36.85%
Over 1.5 29.69%
Under 1.5 70.31%
Over 2.5 10.44%
Under 2.5 89.56%
Over 3.5 2.97%
Under 3.5 97.03%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 49.15%
Draw 24.43%
Heidenheim 26.45%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 8.35%
Total : 49.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
Heidenheim
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.45%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Voith-Arena
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 71'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28' redcard
  • Moritz Jenz 49' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 61' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 15'
  • yellowcard Omar Traore 48'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mainka 49'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 56'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 77'
  • redcard Niklas Dorsch 80'
  • goal Jan Schoppner 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Benedikt Gimber 35' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 65' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Burkardt 69'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Tom Krauss 38' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 44' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 12'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 30'
  • yellowcard Marnon Busch 34'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 57'