Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 32.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.23%).