Premier League Gameweek 29
Aston Villa
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Douglas Luiz 2' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 46' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 63' yellowcard
  • Alysson 63' yellowcard
  • Jadon Sancho 63' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 72' yellowcard
  • goal João Pedro 35'
  • goal João Pedro 45'+6'
  • goal Cole Palmer 55'
  • goal João Pedro 64'
  • yellowcard Roméo Lavia 75'
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 79'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 79'
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 80'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 80'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 85'
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 85'

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News
News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Wolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 4.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

Aston Villa 38.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.71%
Chelsea 37.75% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.84%
Under 1.5 18.16%
Over 2.5 61.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 23.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 76.58% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 31.15%
Draw 40.16%
Chelsea 28.69%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 47.74%
No Goal 4.5%
Chelsea 47.76%

Corners

Over 8 55.46%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 32.76%
Over 9 43.68%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 44.54%
Over 10.5 32.86%
Under 10.5 67.14%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 43.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 73.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 19.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.49%
Under 3.5 92.51%

Score analysis

Aston Villa 38.56%
Draw 23.71%
Chelsea 37.75%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.57%
1-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.83%
Other @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.71%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 2.67%
Other @ 7.15%
Total : 37.75%

Head to Head

Premier League
Chelsea
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Joao Pedro 37' goal
  • Reece James 57' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 68' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 69' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 71' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 30'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 57'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 63'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 78'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 84'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marco Asensio 57' goal
  • John McGinn 69' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 89' goal
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 9'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 72'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 89'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 7' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 36' goal
  • Cole Palmer 83' goal
  • Noni Madueke 85' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaden Philogene-Bidace 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 61'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marc Cucurella 4' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 42' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 49'
  • goal Noni Madueke 62'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 81'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 82'
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 90'+10'
FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Diego Carlos 38' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+1' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 11'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 21'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 76'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'

Form Data

Wolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea
Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea

Build-up

News
News
How to watch