Premier League Gameweek 28
Wolves
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Molineux Stadium
Aston Villa
  • João Gomes 61' goal
  • Tolu Arokodare 81' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 89' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Gomes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Gomes 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 60'
  • yellowcard Ross Barkley 60'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 70'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 70'
  • yellowcard Alysson 86'

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Tolu Arokodare

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Wolverhampton Wanderers 23.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Aston Villa 53.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.02%
Under 2.5 41.98%
Over 3.5 35.77%
Under 3.5 64.23%
Over 4.5 20.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.08% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Wolverhampton Wanderers 19.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 36.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Aston Villa 44.32% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.27% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Aston Villa 62.86% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 55.49%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 32.69%
Over 9 43.67%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 44.51%
Over 10.5 32.83%
Under 10.5 67.17%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 28.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 71.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 81.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 54.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 27.59%
Under 2.5 72.41%
Over 3.5 10.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 23.32%
Draw 22.83%
Aston Villa 53.82%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.83%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 10.49%
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.75%
Other @ 10.82%
Total : 53.82%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aston Villa
Nov 30, 2025 2.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Wolves
  • Boubacar Kamara 67' goal
  • yellowcard Andre 45'+2'
  • yellowcard David Moller Wolfe 58'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 76'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 80'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Wolves
Feb 1, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Molineux Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 12' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 34' yellowcard
  • Vitor Pereira 53' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+7' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 16'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 30'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 45'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Wolves
  • Pau Torres 28' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 73' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 75' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 88' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+4' goal
  • Ross Barkley 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 7'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 16'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 25'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 27'
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 61'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 81'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 90'+12'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Wolves
  • Youri Tielemans 30' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 36' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 65' goal
  • Jhon Duran 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 19'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Chirewa 81'
  • yellowcard Max Kilman 84'
  • yellowcard Toti Gomes 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Wolves
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Molineux Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Craig Dawson 28' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 53' goal
  • Mario Lemina 62' yellowcard
  • Nelson Semedo 67' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 90'+4' redcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 6'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 29'
  • goal Pau Torres 55'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Wolves
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Tote Gomes 9' goal

Form Data

Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Wolves
Wolves 2 - 2 Arsenal
Grimsby Town 0 - 1 Wolves
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Wolves
Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea
Wolves 0 - 2 Bournemouth
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Salzburg

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups