Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.53% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.