FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 14, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Tammy Abraham 14' goal
  • Emiliano Martínez 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 65' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' yellowcard
  • Ian Maatsen 77' yellowcard
  • Jadon Sancho 78' yellowcard
  • goal Sandro Tonali 63'
  • yellowcard Anthony Elanga 63'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 63'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 76'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 80'
  • goal Nick Woltemade 88'
  • yellowcard Alex Murphy 90'

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 47.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 23.24%
Newcastle United 29.72% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%
Over 3.5 34.29%
Under 3.5 65.71%
Over 4.5 20.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.33% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 36.26%
Draw 40.42%
Newcastle United 23.32%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 55.15%
No Goal 5.02%
Newcastle United 39.83%

Corners

Over 8 60.55%
Equal 8 11.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 28.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 48.77%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 39.45%
Over 10.5 37.53%
Under 10.5 62.47%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 47.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 65.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 33.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.61%
Under 3.5 95.39%

Score analysis

Aston Villa 47.05%
Draw 23.24%
Newcastle United 29.73%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.24%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 29.73%

Head to Head

Premier League
Newcastle
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Jacob Ramsey 48' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 62' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 84' yellowcard
  • goal Emiliano Buendía 19'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 59'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 74'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 75'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 88'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelöf 89'
Premier League
Aston Villa
Aug 16, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
Premier League Gameweek 33
Aston Villa
Apr 19, 2025 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Ollie Watkins 1' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 64' goal
  • Dan Burn 73' goal
  • Amadou Onana 75' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 13'
  • goal Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 41'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 63'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Anthony Gordon 2' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 23' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 59' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 14'
  • redcard Jhon Duran 32'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Newcastle
  • Boubacar Kamara 39' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 71' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 72' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 77' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Schar 32'
  • goal Fabian Schar 36'
  • goal Alex Moreno 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Newcastle
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Sandro Tonali 6' goal
  • Alexander Isak 16' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 53' yellowcard
  • Sven Botman 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 58' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 67' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 90'+1' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 11'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 32'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 48'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+9'

Form Data

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Salzburg
Newcastle 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 3 Brentford
Man City 3 - 1 Newcastle
Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle
PSG 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 0 - 2 Aston Villa

Build-up

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