FA Cup
Birmingham
Feb 15, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
ET St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds
  • Ibrahim Osman 46' yellowcard
  • Marvin Ducksch 74' yellowcard
  • Patrick Roberts 74' yellowcard
  • Kanya Fujimoto 83' yellowcard
  • Patrick Roberts 89' goal
  • Phil Neumann 91' yellowcard
  • Zaid Betteka 114' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 46'
  • goal Lukas Nmecha 49'
  • yellowcard Brenden Aaronson 68'
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 68'
  • yellowcard Joël Piroe 78'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 82'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 91'

Birmingham City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Birmingham City 53.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 23.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Leeds United 23.58% ▼ (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 52.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 69.64% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 17.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.16% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 39.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 41.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Leeds United 19.4%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 59.57% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 6.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Leeds United 34.21% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 34.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 41.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 46.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 49.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 24.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 75.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 9.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 90.82% ▼ (-0.06)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 59.97% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 40.03% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 26.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 8.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 53.02%
Draw 23.39%
Leeds United 23.6%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 53.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.39%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 6.73%
1-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.6%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Leeds
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
Birmingham
  • Patrick Bamford 34' goal
  • Daniel James 45'+1' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 20'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 36'
Championship Gameweek 2
Birmingham
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 90'+1' goal
  • John Ruddy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 22'
  • yellowcard Sam Byram 45'+1'
Championship Gameweek 25
Birmingham
Dec 29, 2019 3.00pm
4
5
HT : 1 2
FT
Leeds
  • Jude Bellingham 27' goal
  • Gary Gardner 39' yellowcard
  • Wes Harding 48' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 61' goal
  • Kerim Mrabti 62' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 63' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bela 83' goal
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 91' goal
  • Jefferson Montero 92' yellowcard
  • goal Helder Costa 15'
  • goal Jack Harrison 21'
  • goal Luke Ayling 69'
  • yellowcard Kiko Casilla 71'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 73'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 84'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 88'
  • goal Wes Harding 94' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 12
Leeds
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Birmingham
  • Ezgjan Alioski 42' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 65' goal
  • Kiko Casilla 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 21'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 43'
Championship Gameweek 40
Birmingham
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
Leeds
  • Che Adams 29' goal
  • Harlee Dean 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 30'
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 76'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 83'
Championship Gameweek 9
Leeds
Sep 22, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Birmingham
  • Samuel Saiz 57' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 85' goal
  • Adam Forshaw 90' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 8'
  • goal Che Adams 29'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 41'
  • yellowcard Michael Morrison 67'
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 79'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 84'

Form Data

Birmingham 0 - 0 West Brom
Birmingham 2 - 1 Leicester
Oxford Utd 0 - 2 Birmingham
Birmingham 1 - 1 Stoke
Sheff Weds 0 - 2 Birmingham
Swansea 1 - 1 Birmingham
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Fulham
Derby 1 - 1 Leeds

Build-up

Feature