FA Cup
Feb 15, 2026 12.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 23.69% and a draw has a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 0-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).

Result

Birmingham City 52.93% (+0.21)
Draw 23.38%
Leeds United 23.69% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.26% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 23.74% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.65% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.35% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.21%
Under 3.5 69.79%
Over 4.5 17.77%
Under 4.5 82.23%

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 39.51% (+0.08)
Draw 41.09% (-0.07)
Leeds United 19.4%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 59.49% (-0.15)
No Goal 6.21%
Leeds United 34.3% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 53.35% (-0.30)
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 34.5% (+0.30)
Over 9 41.38% (-0.27)
Equal 9 11.97% (-0.02)
Under 9 46.65% (+0.30)
Over 10.5 30.59% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 69.41% (+0.23)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 49.88% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 50.12% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 24.09% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 75.91% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.13% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.87% (-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 60.09% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 39.91% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 26.38% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 73.62% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 8.53% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 91.47% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 52.93%
Draw 23.38%
Leeds United 23.7%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.81% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.3% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.78% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.07% (+0.05)
Total : 52.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 23.38%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.38% (-0.05)
Total : 23.7%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Patrick Bamford 34' goal
  • Daniel James 45'+1' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 20'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 36'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 90'+1' goal
  • John Ruddy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 22'
  • yellowcard Sam Byram 45'+1'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2019 3.00pm
4
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jude Bellingham 27' goal
  • Gary Gardner 39' yellowcard
  • Wes Harding 48' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 61' goal
  • Kerim Mrabti 62' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 63' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bela 83' goal
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 91' goal
  • Jefferson Montero 92' yellowcard
  • goal Helder Costa 15'
  • goal Jack Harrison 21'
  • goal Luke Ayling 69'
  • yellowcard Kiko Casilla 71'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 73'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 84'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 88'
  • goal Wes Harding 94' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ezgjan Alioski 42' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 65' goal
  • Kiko Casilla 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 21'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 43'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
  • Che Adams 29' goal
  • Harlee Dean 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 30'
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 76'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 83'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
  • Samuel Saiz 57' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 85' goal
  • Adam Forshaw 90' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 8'
  • goal Che Adams 29'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 41'
  • yellowcard Michael Morrison 67'
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 79'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 84'

Build-up

Feature