Championship Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford United vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Filip Krastev

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Demarai Gray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 25.26% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Oxford United 25.26% (-0.03)
Draw 25.1% (-0.04)
Birmingham City 49.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.57%
Under 2.5 52.43%
Over 3.5 26.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.67% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.53% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.47% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 19.11% (+0.04)
Draw 43.69% (-0.22)
Birmingham City 37.2% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Oxford United 32.66% (-0.06)
No Goal 7.56% (-0.03)
Birmingham City 59.78% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.16% (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 32.13% (+0.08)
Over 9 44.38% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 43.84% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 33.51% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 66.49% (+0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 26.09% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.91% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.34%
Under 2.5 91.66%
Over 3.5 2.37%
Under 3.5 97.63%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 77.19% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.81% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.21% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.77% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Oxford United 25.26%
Draw 25.1%
Birmingham City 49.61%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.52% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.1%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 11.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96%
Other @ 6.76% (+0.01)
Total : 49.61%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Storer 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 35'
  • yellowcard John Lundstram 72'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 93'
  • yellowcard Joe Skarz 104'
  • goal Liam Sercombe 120'