Championship
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Yunus Konak 46' yellowcard
  • Will Lankshear 55' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Placheta 55' yellowcard
  • Ole Romeny 65' yellowcard
  • goal Myles Peart-Harris 23' (OG)
  • yellowcard August Priske 59'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vicente 60'
  • yellowcard Bright Osayi-Samuel 65'
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 66'
  • yellowcard Tommy Doyle 87'
  • yellowcard Scott Wright 87'

Oxford United vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 25.47% (+0.19)
Draw 25.11% (-0.04)
Birmingham City 49.42% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.3% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.22% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 26.78% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 47.88% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 52.12% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 26.62% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 73.38% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 14.76% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 85.24% (-0.17)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 19.07% (-0.02)
Draw 44.05% (+0.16)
Birmingham City 36.88% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Oxford United 32.68% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.52% (-0.06)
Birmingham City 59.8% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.1% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.71% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.19% (+0.16)
Over 9 44.33% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.03)
Under 9 43.9% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 33.46% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 66.54% (+0.11)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 26.45% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 73.55% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 8.59% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 91.41% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 2.47% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.53% (-0.08)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 77.17% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.83% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.84%
Under 1.5 55.16%
Over 2.5 20.09% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.79% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.21% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oxford United 25.48%
Draw 25.12%
Birmingham City 49.42%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.72% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.46% (+0.09)
Total : 25.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.12%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 11.78% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.22% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.14% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.78% (+0.02)
Total : 49.42%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Storer 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 35'
  • yellowcard John Lundstram 72'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 93'
  • yellowcard Joe Skarz 104'
  • goal Liam Sercombe 120'