Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.