Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.22% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%) , while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.