Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2026 7.45pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 8.05pm
Le Havre 0 - 1 PSG
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 6.00pm
Monaco 2 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ansu Fati

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw has a probability of 19.36% and a win for Monaco has a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.87%) , while for a Monaco win it is 0-1 (4.36%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 67.35%
Draw 19.36%
Monaco 13.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.76%
Under 1.5 21.24%
Over 2.5 58.78%
Under 2.5 41.22%
Over 3.5 40.21%
Under 3.5 59.79%
Over 4.5 28.1%
Under 4.5 71.9%

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 54.77%
Draw 30.22%
Monaco 15.01%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 68.21%
No Goal 6.21%
Monaco 25.58%

Corners

Over 8 65.64%
Equal 8 10.08%
Under 8 24.29%
Over 9 54.72%
Equal 9 10.92%
Under 9 34.36%
Over 10.5 43.83%
Under 10.5 56.17%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 63.47%
Under 1.5 36.53%
Over 2.5 39.2%
Under 2.5 60.8%
Over 3.5 21.13%
Under 3.5 78.87%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 45.07%
Under 0.5 54.93%
Over 1.5 17.52%
Under 1.5 82.48%
Over 2.5 5.16%
Under 2.5 94.84%
Over 3.5 1.44%
Under 3.5 98.56%

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 67.34%
Draw 19.37%
Monaco 13.29%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 6.91%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 20.88%
Total : 67.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.87%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.37%
Monaco
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.51%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 13.29%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 25, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 60' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66' goal
  • Kang-in Lee 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Fernández 87' yellowcard
  • Warren Zaïre-Emery 88' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 88' yellowcard
  • Pedro Fernández 88' yellowcard
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'
  • yellowcard J. Teze 62'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 74'
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 74'
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 74'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 75'
  • goal J. Teze 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Samuel Nibombe 90'+4'
Champions League
Feb 17, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Folarin Balogun 1' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 18' goal
  • Krepin Diatta 58' yellowcard
  • Krépin Diatta 58' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Coulibaly 70' yellowcard
  • Aladji Bamba 70' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 22'
  • yellowcard Desire Doue 27'
  • yellowcard Désiré Doué 27'
  • goal Desire Doue 29'
  • goal Désiré Doué 29'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 41'
  • goal Desire Doue 67'
  • goal Désiré Doué 67'
  • yellowcard Lee Kang-in 69'
  • yellowcard Kang-in Lee 69'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 81'
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Ramos 81'
Ligue 1
Nov 29, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lamine Camara 12' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 68' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 80' redcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 87' yellowcard
  • Krepin Diatta 88' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Pocognoli 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 33'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Vitinha 6' goal
  • Desire Doue 28' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 54' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 57' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 90' goal
  • goal Denis Zakaria 17'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 5, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium 974
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 87' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vanderson 35'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 13' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 29' yellowcard
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 53' goal
  • Breel Embolo 60' goal
  • Adi Hutter 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Desire Doue 24'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 64'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 83'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 90'+7'