Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.63% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%) , while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.