Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%).