FA Cup
Mar 7, 2026 5.45pm
STōK Cae Ras

Wrexham vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 28.11% and a draw has a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.87%).

Result

Wrexham 28.11% (-1.20)
Draw 22.32% (-0.54)
Chelsea 49.52% (+1.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.38% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 17.62% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 61.77% (+1.33)
Under 2.5 38.23% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 38.31% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 61.69% (-0.68)
Over 4.5 24.16% (+0.77)
Under 4.5 75.84% (-0.77)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 25.25% (-0.68)
Draw 39.29% (-0.46)
Chelsea 35.46% (+1.15)

Team To Score First

Wrexham 40.42% (-0.36)
No Goal 4.49% (-0.25)
Chelsea 55.09% (+0.61)

Corners

Over 8 55.79% (+0.61)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.17)
Under 8 32.73% (-0.45)
Over 9 44.27% (+0.73)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.12)
Under 9 44.21% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 33.65% (+0.76)
Under 10.5 66.35% (-0.77)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 33.99% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 66.01% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 14.05% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 85.95% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 4.56% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 95.44% (+0.18)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 79.81% (+0.97)
Under 0.5 20.19% (-0.96)
Over 1.5 52.57% (+1.78)
Under 1.5 47.43% (-1.78)
Over 2.5 27.18% (+1.68)
Under 2.5 72.82% (-1.69)
Over 3.5 12.1% (+0.95)
Under 3.5 87.9% (-0.95)

Score analysis

Wrexham 28.1%
Draw 22.33%
Chelsea 49.51%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 3.59% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.27% (-0.18)
Total : 28.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.71% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 22.33%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 9.66% (+0.27)
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 7.15% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.25% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 4.65% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 3.47% (+0.08)
Other @ 11.81% (+0.97)
Total : 49.51%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 25, 2024 3.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Noni Madueke 28' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 28' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 35' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 35' goal
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 82' goal
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 82' goal
  • yellowcard George Dobson 23'
  • yellowcard George Dobson 23'
  • goal Luke Bolton 59'
  • goal Luke Bolton 59'
  • goal Jack Marriott 71'
  • goal Jack Marriott 71'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 20, 2023 12.00am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ian Maatsen 3' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 42' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 80' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 90' goal
  • Ben Chilwell 93' goal