Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.