Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.27% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.