Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Romain Esse 11' goal
  • Brandon Thomas-Asante 70' yellowcard
  • Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 70' yellowcard
  • Victor Torp 70' yellowcard
  • Haji Wright 78' goal
  • Ellis Simms 81' yellowcard
  • goal Mihailo Ivanovic 29'
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 74'
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 83'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 83'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 86'

Coventry City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Coventry 0 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Ellis Simms

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Watford 0 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.09%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Coventry City 54.02% (+0.11)
Draw 22.39%
Millwall 23.58% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.77% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.4% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.6% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.5% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 70.5% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 17.28% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 82.72% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Coventry City 43.18%
Draw 38.8%
Millwall 18.02%

Team To Score First

Coventry City 61.07% (+0.65)
No Goal 5.91% (+0.03)
Millwall 33.02% (-0.67)

Corners

Over 8 63.3% (-1.25)
Equal 8 10.6% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.11% (+1.27)
Over 9 52.02% (-1.12)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.14)
Under 9 36.7% (+1.25)
Over 10.5 41% (-0.90)
Under 10.5 59% (+0.90)

Coventry City Goals

Over 1.5 50.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.78% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.41% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 75.59% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.42% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 90.58% (+0.16)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 58.9% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.1% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.76% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.24% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.04% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.96% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.08% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Coventry City 54.02%
Draw 22.41%
Millwall 23.57%
Coventry City
1-0 @ 10.99% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 10.09% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.32% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 9.41% (-0.17)
Total : 54.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.41%
Millwall
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.07% (-0.03)
Total : 23.57%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 1, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 85'
Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 51' yellowcard
  • Danny McNamara 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Bidwell 50'
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 63'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Haji Wright 67' goal
  • Haji Wright 70' goal
  • goal Romain Esse 12'
  • yellowcard Romain Esse 23'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • George Saville 22' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 76' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Godden 30'
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 67'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 86'
  • goal Ben Sheaf 88'