Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Coventry 0 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ellis Simms

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Watford 0 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Femi Azeez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coventry City win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Millwall has a probability of 24.36% and a draw has a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest Millwall win is 0-1 (6.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result

Coventry City 52.79% (-2.07)
Draw 22.85% (+0.48)
Millwall 24.36% (+1.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (-1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.71% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 23.29% (+0.99)
Over 2.5 52.55% (-1.95)
Under 2.5 47.45% (+1.95)
Over 3.5 29.79% (-1.50)
Under 3.5 70.21% (+1.49)
Over 4.5 17.53% (-1.09)
Under 4.5 82.47% (+1.10)

First Half Winner

Coventry City 41.69% (-1.43)
Draw 39.41% (+1.13)
Millwall 18.9% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Coventry City 60.35% (-2.50)
No Goal 5.98% (+0.39)
Millwall 33.67% (+2.13)

Corners

Over 8 64.49% (-3.27)
Equal 8 10.61% (+0.71)
Under 8 24.9% (+2.54)
Over 9 53.08% (-3.75)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.50)
Under 9 35.51% (+3.26)
Over 10.5 41.84% (-3.93)
Under 10.5 58.16% (+3.93)

Coventry City Goals

Over 1.5 49.65% (-2.45)
Under 1.5 50.35% (+2.45)
Over 2.5 23.99% (-2.38)
Under 2.5 76.01% (+2.38)
Over 3.5 9.4% (-1.35)
Under 3.5 90.6% (+1.35)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 59.56% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 40.44% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 26.55% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 73.45% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 8.6% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 91.4% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 2.22% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 97.78% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Coventry City 52.8%
Draw 22.86%
Millwall 24.38%
Coventry City
1-0 @ 10.71% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.55)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.13)
Other @ 9.39% (-1.35)
Total : 52.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.32)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.86%
Millwall
0-1 @ 6.64% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.47)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.21% (+0.22)
Total : 24.38%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 1, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • yellowcard Casper De Norre 85'
Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 51' yellowcard
  • Danny McNamara 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Bidwell 50'
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 63'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Haji Wright 67' goal
  • Haji Wright 70' goal
  • goal Romain Esse 12'
  • yellowcard Romain Esse 23'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • George Saville 22' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 76' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Godden 30'
  • goal Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 67'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 86'
  • goal Ben Sheaf 88'