Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.