Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
The Valley

Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 8.01pm
Charlton 0 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Harvey Knibbs

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 33.16% and a draw has a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (10.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Charlton Athletic 40.03% (+0.10)
Draw 26.78% (-0.02)
Stoke City 33.16% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.37% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 43.96% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 56.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.77% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.23% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.67% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.33% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Charlton Athletic 27.82% (-0.02)
Draw 47.4% (+0.01)
Stoke City 24.78% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Charlton Athletic 45.1%
No Goal 8.88% (-0.02)
Stoke City 46.02% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.52% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.23%
Under 8 32.25% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.26% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.26% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.48% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 32.04% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 67.96% (-0.03)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 35.82% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.18% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.91% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.09% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.4% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.6% (-0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 65.17% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.83% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 30.28% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.02% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.98% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.8%
Under 3.5 97.2%

Score analysis

Charlton Athletic 40.03%
Draw 26.78%
Stoke City 33.16%
Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.22% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.39% (+0.03)
Total : 40.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.78%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.16%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Sorba Thomas 3' goal
  • Million Manhoef 5' goal
  • Sorba Thomas 34' goal
  • Ashley Phillips 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Coventry 31'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • James McClean 28' goal
  • Tom Ince 47' goal
  • Nick Powell 66' goal
  • yellowcard David Davis 27'
  • goal Ben Purrington 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Lockyer 70'
  • yellowcard Lyle Taylor 75'
  • yellowcard Adam Matthews 79'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 81'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lyle Taylor 25' goal
  • Chuks Aneke 75' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 83' goal
  • goal Tom Ince 37'
Championship
Jan 29, 2008 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd Sam 83' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Griffin 90'
Championship
Aug 18, 2007 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Fuller 57' goal
  • Jon Parkin 78' goal
  • Lewis Buxton 82' yellowcard
  • John Eustace 90' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Reid 55'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Fortune 90'