Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.