Premier League
Everton
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hill Dickinson Stadium
Burnley
  • James Tarkowski 32' goal
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 60' goal
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Thierno Barry 83' yellowcard
  • Michael Keane 83' yellowcard
  • Tyrique George 87' yellowcard
  • Tim Iroegbunam 87' yellowcard
  • Tyler Dibling 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 57'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 57'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 72'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 83'

Everton vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Beto

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 3 - 4 Brentford
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Everton 45.67% ▼ (-2.52)
Draw 26.29% ▲ (+0.43)
Burnley 28.07% ▲ (+2.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.81% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.76% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 26.24% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 49.14% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 50.86% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 27.16% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 72.84% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 14.74% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 85.26% ▲ (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Everton 34.03% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 42.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Burnley 23.51% ▲ (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Everton 53.06% ▼ (-2.15)
No Goal 7.33% ▲ (+0.20)
Burnley 39.61% ▲ (+1.96)

Corners

Over 8 56.28% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 8 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 32.03% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 44.5% ▼ (-0.26)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 43.72% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 10.5 33.63% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 66.37% ▲ (+0.24)

Everton Goals

Over 1.5 43.22% ▼ (-1.75)
Under 1.5 56.78% ▲ (+1.75)
Over 2.5 18.75% ▼ (-1.49)
Under 2.5 81.25% ▲ (+1.49)
Over 3.5 6.55% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 3.5 93.45% ▲ (+0.74)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 63.57% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 0.5 36.43% ▼ (-2.00)
Over 1.5 29.22% ▲ (+1.53)
Under 1.5 70.78% ▼ (-1.54)
Over 2.5 9.88% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 2.5 90.12% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 2.76% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 97.24% ▼ (-0.33)

Score analysis

Everton 45.68%
Draw 26.29%
Burnley 28.08%
Everton
1-0 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.60)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.46)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.74)
Total : 45.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.29%
Burnley
0-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.64)
1-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 28.08%

Head to Head

Premier League
Burnley
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Everton
  • Scott Parker 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tim Iroegbunam 80'
  • yellowcard Tyler Obling 85'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard Scott Parker 89'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Everton
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Goodison Park
Burnley
  • James Tarkowski 34' yellowcard
  • Andre Gomes 45' yellowcard
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45'+2' goal
  • redcard Dara O'Shea 67'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 90'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Burnley
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
Everton
  • goal Amadou Onana 19'
  • goal Michael Keane 25'
  • yellowcard James Garner 82'
EFL Cup
Everton
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Goodison Park
Burnley
  • James Tarkowski 13' goal
  • Amadou Onana 53' goal
  • Ashley Young 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ameen Al Dakhil 29'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 30'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 58'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Burnley
Apr 6, 2022 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Everton
  • Josh Brownhill 10' yellowcard
  • Nathan Collins 12' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 57' goal
  • Matthew Lowton 76' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 85' goal
  • yellowcard Mason Holgate 3'
  • goal Richarlison 18'
  • goal Richarlison 41'
  • yellowcard Ben Godfrey 54'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Everton
Sep 13, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burnley
  • Andros Townsend 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Keane 60' goal
  • Andros Townsend 65' goal
  • Demarai Gray 66' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 47'
  • goal Ben Mee 53'

Form Data

Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
Everton 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 1 - 2 Everton
Brighton 1 - 1 Everton
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Burnley 3 - 4 Brentford
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 1 - 2 Mansfield
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 2 West Ham
Sunderland 3 - 0 Burnley

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