Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Everton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Malick Thiaw

Everton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Thiemo Barry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53%. A win for Everton has a probability of 23.9% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Everton win is 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).

Result

Newcastle United 53% (+0.01)
Draw 23.08% (+0.01)
Everton 23.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.74% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.57% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.14% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.86% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.55% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.45% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.73% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.27% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 43.02%
Draw 38.71%
Everton 18.27%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 64.26% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.52% (-0.02)
Everton 30.22%

Corners

Over 8 64.47%
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 25.2%
Over 9 53.38%
Equal 9 11.09%
Under 9 35.53%
Over 10.5 42.43%
Under 10.5 57.57%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 51.42% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.58% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.72% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.58% (-0.02)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5 60.21% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.79% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.6% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 52.99%
Draw 23.08%
Everton 23.89%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 10.22%
Total : 52.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 23.08%
Everton
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.89%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 69' goal
  • goal Malick Thiaw 1'
  • goal Lewis Miley 25'
  • goal Nick Woltemade 45'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 58'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Fabian Schar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 24'
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 65'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 77'
  • yellowcard Vitaliy Mykolenko 81'
  • yellowcard James Garner 83'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Dwight McNeil 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Hall 84'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 15' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 81'
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 88'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Youssef Chermiti 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Goodison Park
  • Idrissa Gueye 35' yellowcard
  • Dwight McNeil 79' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 83' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Doucoure 86' goal
  • Beto 87' yellowcard
  • Sean Dyche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Beto 90'+6' goal
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dwight McNeil 80' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 28'
  • goal Joelinton 72'
  • goal Callum Wilson 75'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 81'

Build-up

News
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