Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.49% and a win for Everton had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%) , while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.