Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Everton had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.