Premier League Gameweek 27
Man City
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Nico O'Reilly 14' goal
  • Nico O'Reilly 27' goal
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 46' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 58' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hall 22'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 60'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 60'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 78'
  • yellowcard William Osula 78'

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
Man City 3 - 0 Fulham
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.58% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City 59.74%
Draw 21.58%
Newcastle United 18.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 58.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.36% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 46.81%
Draw 33.93%
Newcastle United 19.26%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 62.74% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Newcastle United 32.28%

Corners

Over 8 64.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.52%
Under 8 25.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 54.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.25%
Under 9 35.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 44.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 55.73% ▼ (-0.03)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 57.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 42.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 30.59%
Under 2.5 69.41%
Over 3.5 12.94%
Under 3.5 87.06%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 55.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 44.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Manchester City 59.74%
Draw 21.58%
Newcastle United 18.67%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 10.92%
1-0 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 12.84%
Total : 59.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 21.58%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.67%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Man City
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Omar Marmoush 7' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 29' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 32' goal
  • Max Alleyne 46' yellowcard
  • Rodri 71' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 71' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 72' yellowcard
  • Rico Lewis 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 44'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 46'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Elanga 46'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 62'
  • yellowcard Will Osula 76'
  • yellowcard William Osula 76'
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Jan 13, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Harvey Barnes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 69' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 69' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 53'
  • yellowcard Rodri 62'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 62'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 62'
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 77'
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 88'
  • yellowcard Rayan Aït-Nouri 88'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 90'+8'
Premier League
Newcastle
Nov 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 25
Man City
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Omar Marmoush 19' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 24' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 33' goal
  • James McAtee 84' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 50'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Newcastle
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Fabian Schar 26' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 32' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 62' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 63' yellowcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 35'
  • yellowcard Ederson 56'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 62'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 90'
FA Cup
Man City
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Bernardo Silva 13' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 31' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 18'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 28'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 90'+3'

Form Data

Man City 2 - 0 Salford City
Man City 3 - 0 Fulham
Liverpool 1 - 2 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Newcastle
Spurs 2 - 2 Man City
Man City 2 - 0 Galatasaray
Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 2 - 3 Brentford
Man City 3 - 1 Newcastle
Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle

Build-up

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