Premier League Gameweek 25
Liverpool
Feb 8, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
Man City
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 74' goal
  • Curtis Jones 85' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 61'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 61'
  • yellowcard Rúben Dias  61'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 84'
  • goal Bernardo Silva   84'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ake 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Nathan Aké 90'+6'

Liverpool vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 4.30pm
Spurs 2 - 2 Man City
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Liverpool 52.59% ▲ (+0.32)
Draw 22.5% ▼ (-0.15)
Manchester City 24.84% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.52% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.31% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 19.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 58.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 37.55% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 62.45% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 22.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 77.4% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 43.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 32.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Manchester City 24.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 52.85% ▲ (+1.31)
No Goal 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Manchester City 42.24% ▼ (-1.29)

Corners

Over 8 57.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 32.15%
Over 9 46.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 42.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 64.17% ▲ (+0.08)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 53.34% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 46.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 28.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 71.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 11.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.21% ▼ (-0.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 61.01% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 38.99% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 30.72% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 69.28% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 11.16% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 88.84% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Liverpool 52.59%
Draw 22.49%
Manchester City 24.85%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 11.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 52.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.49%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head

Premier League
Man City
Nov 9, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liverpool
Premier League Gameweek 26
Man City
Feb 23, 2025 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Etihad Stadium
Liverpool
  • goal Mohamed Salah 14'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 37'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Liverpool
Dec 1, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
Man City
  • Cody Gakpo 12' goal
  • Ryan Gravenberch 36' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 78' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 24'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 32'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 45'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Liverpool
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Anfield
Man City
  • Alexis Mac Allister 50' goal
  • goal John Stones 23'
  • yellowcard Ederson 47'
  • yellowcard Rodri 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 59'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Man City
Nov 25, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Liverpool
  • Erling Haaland 27' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 75'
  • goal Trent Alexander-Arnold 80'
  • yellowcard Joel Matip 86'
  • yellowcard Wataru Endo 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Man City
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Liverpool
  • Julian Alvarez 27' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 46' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 53' goal
  • Jack Grealish 74' goal
  • goal Mohamed Salah 17'

Form Data

Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle
Liverpool 6 - 0 Qarabag
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Liverpool
Marseille 0 - 3 Liverpool
Liverpool 1 - 1 Burnley
Liverpool 4 - 1 Barnsley
Man City 3 - 1 Newcastle
Spurs 2 - 2 Man City
Man City 2 - 0 Galatasaray
Man City 2 - 0 Wolves
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 1 Man City
Man Utd 2 - 0 Man City

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