/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flivlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
Liverpool vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Fjeremie-frimpong-13-698520c9b5d42251161012.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 25.09% and a draw has a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.92%).
Result
Liverpool
52.28%
Draw
22.66%
Manchester City
25.09%
Both Teams to Score:
58.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.47%
Under 1.5
19.53%
Over 2.5
58.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
41.28%
Over 3.5
37.66%
Under 3.5
62.34%
Over 4.5
22.7%
Under 4.5
77.3%
First Half Winner
Liverpool
43.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
32.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Manchester City
24.5%
Team To Score First
Liverpool
51.33%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
4.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Manchester City
43.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
57.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
10.82%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 8
32.08%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 9
46.14%
Equal 9
10.97%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
42.89%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
35.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 10.5
64.14%
▲
(+0.05)
Liverpool Goals
Over 1.5
53.2%
Under 1.5
46.8%
Over 2.5
27.92%
Under 2.5
72.08%
Over 3.5
11.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
88.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
61.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
38.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
31.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
68.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
11.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
88.65%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
3.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
96.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Liverpool
52.28%
Draw
22.66%
Manchester City
25.1%
Liverpool
1-0
@
9.4%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 11.59%
Total : 52.28%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 11.59%
Total : 52.28%
Draw
1-1
@
9.92%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.66%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.66%
Manchester City
1-2
@
6.49%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.1%
Head to Head
Mohamed Salah
14'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Fns-3-photo-frame-email-sportmole-7-69846867d2e4f347434624.jpg)
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fimago1071925483-1-697e6d8ed5418988507931.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fsm-azzuu-bernardo-6929a7f027494886539074.jpg)