Premier League Gameweek 28
Burnley
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 3
FT Turf Moor
Brentford
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 46' yellowcard
  • Lyle Foster 46' yellowcard
  • Jaidon Anthony 47' goal
  • Michael Kayode 45'+3' goal
  • Zian Flemming 60' goal
  • Florentino 75' yellowcard
  • Loum Tchaouna 84' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 9'
  • goal Igor Thiago 25'
  • goal Kevin Schade 34'
  • yellowcard Romelle Donovan 72'
  • yellowcard Keane Lewis-Potter 72'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 73'
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 90'+3'

Burnley vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Igor Thiago

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

Burnley 32.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.68%
Brentford 42.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.45%
Under 3.5 68.55%
Over 4.5 17.83%
Under 4.5 82.17%

First Half Winner

Burnley 24.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 39.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Brentford 35.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Burnley 41.06% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 5.93%
Brentford 53.01% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.17%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 30.48%
Over 9 46.57%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 41.83%
Over 10.5 35.68%
Under 10.5 64.32%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 35.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 74.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Burnley 32.47%
Draw 24.68%
Brentford 42.85%
Burnley
1-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.68%
Brentford
1-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 42.85%

Head to Head

Premier League
Brentford
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Burnley
  • Thiago 81' goal
  • Thiago 86' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 16'
  • yellowcard Axel Tuanzebe 77'
  • goal Zian Flemming 85'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Burnley
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
Brentford
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 10' goal
  • David Datro Fofana 62' goal
  • Zeki Amdouni 81' yellowcard
  • Charlie Taylor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergio Reguilon 8'
  • yellowcard Vitaly Janelt 68'
  • goal Kristoffer Ajer 83'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Ajer 84'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Shandon Baptiste 90'+13'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Brentford
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley
  • Yoane Wissa 25' goal
  • Kristoffer Ajer 46' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 53' yellowcard
  • Thomas Frank 61' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 62' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 69' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 85' yellowcard
  • Saman Ghoddos 87' goal
  • Saman Ghoddos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 32'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 42'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 45'+2'
  • redcard Connor Roberts 78'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Brentford
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burnley
  • Ivan Toney 85' goal
  • Ivan Toney 86' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 89'
  • redcard Nathan Collins 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Burnley
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Brentford
  • Chris Wood 4' goal
  • Matthew Lowton 32' goal
  • Maxwel Cornet 36' goal
  • Dwight McNeil 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saman Ghoddos 72'
  • goal Saman Ghoddos 79'
Championship
Brentford
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Burnley
  • Alan Judge 57' goal
  • goal Scott Arfield 12'
  • goal Joey Barton 30'
  • goal George Boyd 39'

Form Data

Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Burnley 1 - 2 Mansfield
Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley
Burnley 0 - 2 West Ham
Sunderland 3 - 0 Burnley
Burnley 2 - 2 Spurs
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Macclesfield 0 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 1 - 1 Arsenal
Newcastle 2 - 3 Brentford
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 0 - 2 Nott'm Forest

Build-up

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