Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Dango Ouattara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brentford win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 32.54% and a draw has a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Burnley win is 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

Burnley 32.54% (-0.04)
Draw 24.68%
Brentford 42.81% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.62% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.38% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.22%
Under 2.5 45.78%
Over 3.5 31.45%
Under 3.5 68.55%
Over 4.5 17.83%
Under 4.5 82.17%

First Half Winner

Burnley 24.64%
Draw 39.54%
Brentford 35.82%

Team To Score First

Burnley 41.04%
No Goal 5.93%
Brentford 53.03%

Corners

Over 8 58.17%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 30.48%
Over 9 46.57%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 41.83%
Over 10.5 35.68%
Under 10.5 64.32%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 35.3% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.7% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.79% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.21% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.53% (+0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 74.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.01% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 43.62% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.38% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.97% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.43% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 32.55%
Draw 24.68%
Brentford 42.81%
Burnley
2-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33% (-0.01)
Total : 32.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.68%
Brentford
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-1 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19%
Other @ 6.43% (+0.01)
Total : 42.81%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thiago 81' goal
  • Thiago 86' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 16'
  • yellowcard Axel Tuanzebe 77'
  • goal Zian Flemming 85'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 10' goal
  • David Datro Fofana 62' goal
  • Zeki Amdouni 81' yellowcard
  • Charlie Taylor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergio Reguilon 8'
  • yellowcard Vitaly Janelt 68'
  • goal Kristoffer Ajer 83'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Ajer 84'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Shandon Baptiste 90'+13'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Yoane Wissa 25' goal
  • Kristoffer Ajer 46' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 53' yellowcard
  • Thomas Frank 61' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 62' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 69' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 85' yellowcard
  • Saman Ghoddos 87' goal
  • Saman Ghoddos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 32'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 42'
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 45'+2'
  • redcard Connor Roberts 78'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ivan Toney 85' goal
  • Ivan Toney 86' yellowcard
  • Ivan Toney 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard James Tarkowski 89'
  • redcard Nathan Collins 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Chris Wood 4' goal
  • Matthew Lowton 32' goal
  • Maxwel Cornet 36' goal
  • Dwight McNeil 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saman Ghoddos 72'
  • goal Saman Ghoddos 79'
Championship
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Alan Judge 57' goal
  • goal Scott Arfield 12'
  • goal Joey Barton 30'
  • goal George Boyd 39'