Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.64% and a win for Everton had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.