Premier League
Chelsea
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Liam Delap 46' yellowcard
  • Roméo Lavia 61' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 82' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Gordon 18'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 67'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 77'
  • yellowcard Kieran Trippier 77'
  • yellowcard Anthony Elanga 78'

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 8.15pm
Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.25%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 55.25%
Draw 22.36%
Newcastle United 22.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 19.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 59.18%
Under 2.5 40.82%
Over 3.5 36.62%
Under 3.5 63.38%
Over 4.5 22.43%
Under 4.5 77.57%

First Half Winner

Chelsea 40.8%
Draw 36.62%
Newcastle United 22.58%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 59.84%
No Goal 4.84%
Newcastle United 35.32%

Corners

Over 8 66.2%
Equal 8 10.43%
Under 8 23.38%
Over 9 54.83%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 33.8%
Over 10.5 43.48%
Under 10.5 56.52%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 55.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 70.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 12.31%
Under 3.5 87.69%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 60.16%
Under 0.5 39.84%
Over 1.5 28.19%
Under 1.5 71.81%
Over 2.5 9.97%
Under 2.5 90.03%
Over 3.5 2.99%
Under 3.5 97.01%

Score analysis

Chelsea 55.23%
Draw 22.36%
Newcastle United 22.4%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 10.19%
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 6.27%
3-0 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 12.07%
Total : 55.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.36%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-1 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 22.4%

Head to Head

Premier League
Newcastle
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Nick Woltemade 4' goal
  • Nick Woltemade 20' goal
  • Fabian Schar 61' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 77' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 86' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 7'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 8'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 27'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 45'
  • yellowcard Enzo Maresca 45'
  • goal Reece James 49'
  • yellowcard Enzo Maresca 59'
  • goal Joao Pedro 66'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 70'
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 82'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 83'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Newcastle
May 11, 2025 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Sandro Tonali 2' goal
  • Fabian Schar 53' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 84' yellowcard
  • Emil Krafth 89' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90' goal
  • redcard Nicolas Jackson 35'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Fabian Schar 16' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 19' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 23' goal
  • Axel Disasi 26' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 52' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 29'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 85'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Chelsea
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Cole Palmer 4' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 11' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 18' goal
  • Cole Palmer 47' goal
  • Romeo Lavia 54' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 84' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 88' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Maresca 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 22'
  • goal Alexander Isak 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 64'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Chelsea
Mar 11, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Nicolas Jackson 6' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 39' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 57' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 72' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 76' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 43'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Joe White 90'+6'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Dec 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
Newcastle
  • Moises Caicedo 2' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 71' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+2' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5'

Form Data

PSG 5 - 2 Chelsea
Wrexham 2 - 4 Chelsea
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea
Newcastle 1 - 1 Barcelona
Newcastle 1 - 3 Man City
Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
Newcastle 3 - 2 Qarabag
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle

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