Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 22.56% and a draw has a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).