Premier League Gameweek 29
Newcastle
Mar 4, 2026 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Man Utd
  • Joe Willock 46' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 84' yellowcard
  • William Osula 85' yellowcard
  • William Osula 90' goal
  • Sven Botman 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 61'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 61'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Joshua Zirkzee 77'
  • yellowcard Tyrell Malacia 85'

Newcastle United vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 36.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 25.31%
Manchester United 38.06% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.63% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 20.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.77% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 33.67%
Draw 38.97%
Manchester United 27.36%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 50.58% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 6.13%
Manchester United 43.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.3% ▲ (+0.34)
Equal 8 10.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 25.13% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 9 52.95% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 9 11.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 35.7% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 10.5 41.79% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 58.21% ▼ (-0.18)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 40.07% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 59.93% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 58.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 17.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 36.61%
Draw 25.31%
Manchester United 38.06%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 36.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.31%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head

Premier League
Man Utd
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Patrick Dorgu 24' goal
  • Luke Shaw 69' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 73'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Newcastle
Apr 13, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
Man Utd
  • Sandro Tonali 24' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 49' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 64' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 77' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 16'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 37'
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 43'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Man Utd
Dec 30, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Newcastle
  • Lisandro Martinez 61' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Isak 4'
  • goal Joelinton 19'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 80'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Man Utd
May 15, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
Newcastle
  • Kobbie Mainoo 31' goal
  • Amad Diallo 57' goal
  • Casemiro 62' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 81' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 84' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 37'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 49'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 68'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 78'
  • goal Lewis Hall 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Newcastle
Dec 2, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man Utd
  • Anthony Gordon 55' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 77'
  • yellowcard Antony 90'+2'
EFL Cup
Man Utd
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Newcastle
  • Hannibal Mejbri 14' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 19' yellowcard
  • Sergio Reguilon 77' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 79' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Almiron 29'
  • goal Lewis Hall 36'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 46'
  • goal Joe Willock 61'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 82'

Form Data

Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
Newcastle 3 - 2 Qarabag
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Man Utd 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
West Ham 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 0 Spurs
Man Utd 3 - 2 Fulham
Arsenal 2 - 3 Man Utd

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