Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2026 8.15pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Malick Thiaw

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 36.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 0-1 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.14%).

Result

Newcastle United 38.22%
Draw 25.43%
Manchester United 36.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.75%
Under 1.5 23.25%
Over 2.5 54.5%
Under 2.5 45.47%
Over 3.5 32.81%
Under 3.5 67.19%
Over 4.5 19.21%
Under 4.5 80.79%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 34.88%
Draw 39.06%
Manchester United 26.05%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 52.23%
No Goal 6.62%
Manchester United 41.15%

Corners

Over 8 65.87%
Equal 8 10.51%
Under 8 23.62%
Over 9 54.43%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 34.13%
Over 10.5 43.04%
Under 10.5 56.96%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 40.37%
Under 1.5 59.63%
Over 2.5 18.31%
Under 2.5 81.69%
Over 3.5 6.74%
Under 3.5 93.26%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 70.34%
Under 0.5 29.66%
Over 1.5 38.7%
Under 1.5 61.3%
Over 2.5 16.37%
Under 2.5 83.63%
Over 3.5 5.44%
Under 3.5 94.56%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 38.2%
Draw 25.43%
Manchester United 36.33%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.91%
Other @ 6.36%
Total : 38.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 25.43%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 36.33%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patrick Dorgu 24' goal
  • Luke Shaw 69' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 73'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Sandro Tonali 24' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 49' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 64' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 77' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 16'
  • goal Alejandro Garnacho 37'
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 43'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 30, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Lisandro Martinez 61' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Isak 4'
  • goal Joelinton 19'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 80'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 15, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Kobbie Mainoo 31' goal
  • Amad Diallo 57' goal
  • Casemiro 62' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 81' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 84' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 37'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 49'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 68'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 78'
  • goal Lewis Hall 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 55' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 77'
  • yellowcard Antony 90'+2'
EFL Cup
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Hannibal Mejbri 14' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 19' yellowcard
  • Sergio Reguilon 77' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 79' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Almiron 29'
  • goal Lewis Hall 36'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 46'
  • goal Joe Willock 61'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 82'