Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
Everton 0 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Jorgen Strand Larsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 25.42% and a draw has a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win is 0-1 (6.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result

Manchester United 50.07%
Draw 24.51%
Crystal Palace 25.42% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.81% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.44% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 47.56% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 30.38% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.62% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.4% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 33.95%
Draw 40.75%
Crystal Palace 25.3%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 54.02%
No Goal 6.27% (+0.01)
Crystal Palace 39.71% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.77% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.16% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.07% (-0.05)
Over 9 40.85% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.23% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 30.16% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 69.84% (-0.02)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 48.09% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.91% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.51% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 77.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.46% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.54% (+0.03)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5 61.95% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 38.05% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.54% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.46% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.69% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.31% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester United 50.08%
Draw 24.51%
Crystal Palace 25.43%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 10.59% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 8.35% (-0.01)
Total : 50.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 24.51%
Crystal Palace
0-1 @ 6.74% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.43%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 36' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 53' yellowcard
  • Marc Guehi 75' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Lerma 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Mbeumo 17'
  • yellowcard Bryan Mbeumo 18'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 54'
  • goal Mason Mount 63'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 72'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 73'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Harry Maguire 49' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 64' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ugarte 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 64'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 72'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 89'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Dean Henderson 63' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 83' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 36'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 64'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 6, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Michael Olise 12' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 40' goal
  • Tyrick Mitchell 58' goal
  • Michael Olise 66' goal
  • Oliver Glasner 69' yellowcard
  • Odsonne Edouard 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 69'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 10' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 10' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 77' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 79' yellowcard
  • goal Joachim Andersen 25'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 32'
  • yellowcard Joel Ward 45'+3'
EFL Cup
Sep 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Alejandro Garnacho 21' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 21' goal
  • Casemiro 27' goal
  • Casemiro 27' goal
  • Hannibal Mejbri 29' yellowcard
  • Hannibal Mejbri 29' yellowcard
  • Anthony Martial 55' goal
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 26'
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 26'