Premier League
Gameweek
28
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcrylog.png)
-
Noussair Mazraoui
24'
-
Bruno Fernandes
57'
-
Benjamin Sesko
65'
-
Amad Diallo
75'
-
Ayden Heaven
85'
-
Joshua Zirkzee
86'
-
Maxence Lacroix
4'
-
Evann Guessand
58'
-
Chadi Riad
58'
-
Will Hughes
68'
-
Yéremy Pino
85'
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Ficonsport-360719-0027-1-69a44f29f0a6a361949726.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Fns-photo-badge-email-sportmole-24-698769d6582d2408130399.jpg){kind=icon}
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Fns-photo-badge-email-sportmole-17-6985c43c27ade384589297.jpg){kind=icon}
The match
Team News
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Faaa-glas-696a897ba7a73991242180.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Ficonsport-360455-0050-1-69a16f0585670617855674.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Faaa-lm-699d999ca440f531814994.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Manchester United
49.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
24.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Crystal Palace
25.45%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
54.52%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.16%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
23.84%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
52.12%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
47.88%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
30.11%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
69.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
17.4%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
82.6%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Manchester United
33.95%
Draw
40.75%
Crystal Palace
25.3%
Team To Score First
Manchester United
53.96%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
6.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Crystal Palace
39.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
52.74%
Equal 8
12.15%
Under 8
35.11%
Over 9
40.83%
Equal 9
11.91%
Under 9
47.26%
Over 10.5
30.14%
Under 10.5
69.86%
Manchester United Goals
Over 1.5
47.82%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
52.18%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 2.5
22.3%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
77.7%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
8.36%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
91.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5
61.83%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
38.17%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
28.38%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
71.62%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
9.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
90.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
2.66%
Under 3.5
97.34%
Score analysis
Manchester United
49.98%
Draw
24.57%
Crystal Palace
25.44%
Manchester United
1-0
@
10.67%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 49.98%
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 49.98%
Draw
1-1
@
11.78%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.57%
0-0 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.57%
Crystal Palace
0-1
@
6.8%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.44%
1-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.44%
Head to Head
Premier League
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
36'
-
Eddie Nketiah
53'
-
Marc Guehi
75'
-
Jefferson Lerma
90'+3'
-
Bryan Mbeumo
17'
-
Bryan Mbeumo
18'
-
Joshua Zirkzee
54'
-
Mason Mount
63'
-
Luke Shaw
72'
-
Luke Shaw
73'
Premier League
Gameweek
24
-
Harry Maguire
49'
-
Bruno Fernandes
64'
-
Manuel Ugarte
74'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
64'
-
Will Hughes
72'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
89'
Premier League
Gameweek
5
-
Dean Henderson
63'
-
Will Hughes
83'
-
Maxence Lacroix
90'+5'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
36'
-
Lisandro Martinez
64'
Premier League
Gameweek
36
-
Michael Olise
12'
-
Jean-Philippe Mateta
40'
-
Tyrick Mitchell
58'
-
Michael Olise
66'
-
Oliver Glasner
69'
-
Odsonne Edouard
88'
-
Sofyan Amrabat
69'
Premier League
Gameweek
7
-
Casemiro
10'
-
Casemiro
10'
-
Mason Mount
77'
-
Sofyan Amrabat
79'
-
Joachim Andersen
25'
-
Will Hughes
32'
-
Joel Ward
45'+3'
EFL Cup
-
Alejandro Garnacho
21'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
21'
-
Casemiro
27'
-
Casemiro
27'
-
Hannibal Mejbri
29'
-
Hannibal Mejbri
29'
-
Anthony Martial
55'
-
Rob Holding
26'
-
Rob Holding
26'
Form Data
Build-up
News
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Fimago1069559905-69329fc6995b5186514803.jpg)
Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Futdpal_2.jpg)