Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.