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Newcastle United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 33.17% and a draw has a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.89%).
Result
Newcastle United
33.17%
▼
(-1.11)
Draw
22.89%
▲
(+0.11)
Manchester City
43.94%
▲
(+1.02)
Both Teams to Score:
60.38%
▼
(-0.53)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.59%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
17.41%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 2.5
62.29%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 2.5
37.71%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
39.39%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 3.5
60.61%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 4.5
24.38%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 4.5
75.62%
▲
(+0.83)
First Half Winner
Newcastle United
28.64%
▼
(-0.49)
Draw
38.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Manchester City
32.9%
▲
(+0.44)
Team To Score First
Newcastle United
44.18%
▼
(-0.43)
No Goal
4.36%
▲
(+0.23)
Manchester City
51.46%
▲
(+0.22)
Corners
Over 8
52.41%
▼
(-1.67)
Equal 8
11.78%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 8
35.81%
▲
(+1.42)
Over 9
40.9%
▼
(-1.76)
Equal 9
11.51%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 9
47.59%
▲
(+1.67)
Over 10.5
30.56%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 10.5
69.44%
▲
(+1.71)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 1.5
39.5%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 1.5
60.5%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 2.5
17.56%
▼
(-1.21)
Under 2.5
82.44%
▲
(+1.21)
Over 3.5
6.4%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 3.5
93.6%
▲
(+0.55)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
76.75%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
23.25%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
48.56%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
51.44%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 2.5
23.99%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
76.01%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
9.73%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
90.27%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Newcastle United
33.19%
Draw
22.9%
Manchester City
43.94%
Newcastle United
2-1
@
7.56%
▼
(-0.25)
1-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.49)
Total : 33.19%
1-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.49)
Total : 33.19%
Draw
1-1
@
9.89%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 22.9%
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 22.9%
Manchester City
1-2
@
9.03%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 43.94%
0-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 43.94%
Head to Head
-
Omar Marmoush
7'
-
Omar Marmoush
29'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
32'
-
Max Alleyne
46'
-
Rodri
71'
-
Erling Haaland
71'
-
Rayan Cherki
72'
-
Rico Lewis
83'
-
Harvey Barnes
44'
-
Jacob Murphy
46'
-
Yoane Wissa
46'
-
Anthony Elanga
46'
-
Anthony Elanga
62'
-
Will Osula
76'
-
William Osula
76'
-
Harvey Barnes
45'+2'
-
Anthony Elanga
69'
-
Sandro Tonali
69'
-
Nick Woltemade
69'
-
Kieran Trippier
87'
-
Antoine Semenyo
53'
-
Rodri
62'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
62'
-
Rico Lewis
62'
-
Rayan Cherki
77'
-
Rayan Ait-Nouri
88'
-
Rayan Aït-Nouri
88'
-
Rayan Cherki
90'+8'