FA Cup
Newcastle
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Harvey Barnes 18' goal
  • Joelinton 62' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 63' yellowcard
  • Dan Burn 63' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 72' yellowcard
  • Tino Livramento 80' yellowcard
  • goal Savinho 39'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 47'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 65'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 73'
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 79'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 79'

Newcastle United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head
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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 32.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.76%
Manchester City 44.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 17.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 62.8%
Under 2.5 37.2%
Over 3.5 39.75%
Under 3.5 60.25%
Over 4.5 24.71%
Under 4.5 75.29%

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 28.63%
Draw 38.47%
Manchester City 32.9%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 44.08%
No Goal 4.26%
Manchester City 51.66%

Corners

Over 8 53.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 34.83%
Over 9 41.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 46.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 31.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.76% ▲ (+0.05)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 39.5%
Under 1.5 60.5%
Over 2.5 17.59%
Under 2.5 82.41%
Over 3.5 6.4%
Under 3.5 93.6%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 77.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.41%
Under 2.5 75.59%
Over 3.5 9.95%
Under 3.5 90.05%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 32.97%
Draw 22.76%
Manchester City 44.27%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.56%
1-0 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.57%
Other @ 6.05%
Total : 32.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.76%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.78%
Other @ 9.6%
Total : 44.27%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Man City
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Nico O'Reilly 14' goal
  • Nico O'Reilly 27' goal
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 46' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 58' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hall 22'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 60'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 60'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 78'
  • yellowcard William Osula 78'
EFL Cup
Man City
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Omar Marmoush 7' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 29' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 32' goal
  • Max Alleyne 46' yellowcard
  • Rodri 71' yellowcard
  • Erling Haaland 71' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 72' yellowcard
  • Rico Lewis 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 44'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 46'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Elanga 46'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 62'
  • yellowcard Will Osula 76'
  • yellowcard William Osula 76'
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Jan 13, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Harvey Barnes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Anthony Elanga 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 69' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 69' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 53'
  • yellowcard Rodri 62'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 62'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 62'
  • yellowcard Rayan Cherki 77'
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 88'
  • yellowcard Rayan Aït-Nouri 88'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 90'+8'
Premier League
Newcastle
Nov 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 25
Man City
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Omar Marmoush 19' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 24' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 33' goal
  • James McAtee 84' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 50'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Newcastle
Sep 28, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Fabian Schar 26' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 32' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 58' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 62' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 63' yellowcard
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 35'
  • yellowcard Ederson 56'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 62'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 90'

Form Data

Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
Newcastle 3 - 2 Qarabag
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Leeds 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 0 Salford City
Man City 3 - 0 Fulham
Liverpool 1 - 2 Man City

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