Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Antoine Semenyo 31' goal
  • Rodri 62' goal
  • Jérémy Doku 77' yellowcard
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 77' yellowcard
  • Savinho 82' yellowcard
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 56'
  • yellowcard Callum Hudson-Odoi 63'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 76'
  • yellowcard Taiwo Awoniyi  79'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  90'
  • yellowcard Morato 90'

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
Leeds 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 2.00pm
Brighton 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.37% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%) , while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City 67.22%
Draw 19.37% (-0.03)
Nottingham Forest 13.41% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.12% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.88% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 56.48%
Under 2.5 43.52%
Over 3.5 34.18% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.82% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 22.15% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 77.85% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 48.89%
Draw 34.66%
Nottingham Forest 16.45%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 67.11% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.29% (-0.01)
Nottingham Forest 27.6%

Corners

Over 8 61.13% (-0.42)
Equal 8 10.28% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.59% (+0.42)
Over 9 50.38% (-0.40)
Equal 9 10.75% (-0.02)
Under 9 38.87% (+0.42)
Over 10.5 39.99% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 60.01% (+0.36)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 61.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 38.04% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 34.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 65.17% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 16.28% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.72% (+0.04)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 47.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 52.4% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.06%
Under 1.5 82.94%
Over 2.5 4.44% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Manchester City 67.22%
Draw 19.36%
Nottingham Forest 13.42%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 11.63% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.28% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.95% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 16.22% (-0.04)
Total : 67.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 19.36%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 4.28%
1-2 @ 3.66% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.99% (-0.02)
Total : 13.42%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Elliot Anderson 43' yellowcard
  • Omari Hutchinson 54' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 36'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 48'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 59'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 75'
  • goal Rayan Cherki 83'
FA Cup
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 65' yellowcard
  • Ramon Sosa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Rico Lewis 2'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 51'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 55'
  • yellowcard Nico O'Reilly 78'
  • yellowcard Stefan Ortega 87'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 27' yellowcard
  • Ryan Yates 76' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 83' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 56'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Bernardo Silva 8' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 31' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 52' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Doku 57' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 51'
  • yellowcard Murillo 54'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 76'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 32'
  • goal Erling Haaland 71'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Phil Foden 7' goal
  • Phil Foden 7' goal
  • Erling Haaland 14' goal
  • Erling Haaland 14' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 18' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 18' yellowcard
  • Pep Guardiola 19' yellowcard
  • Pep Guardiola 19' yellowcard
  • Rodri 46' redcard
  • Ederson 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 21'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 21'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 46'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Taiwo Awoniyi 58'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 77'
  • yellowcard Divock Origi 81'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 90'+3'

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