Premier League Gameweek 28
Leeds
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
Man City
  • Lukas Nmecha 65' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 76' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 87' yellowcard
  • Jaka Bijol 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Savinho 68'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 70'
  • yellowcard Nathan Aké 87'
  • yellowcard Nathan Aké 88'

Leeds United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Phil Foden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Leeds United 27.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.21%
Manchester City 48.11% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 32.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 67.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.85% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 25.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Manchester City 34.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 39.61% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Manchester City 54.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 30.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 46.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 41.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 64.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 31.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 77.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 48.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 51.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 77.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.24% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Leeds United 27.61%
Draw 24.21%
Manchester City 48.1%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.21%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 48.1%

Head to Head

Premier League
Man City
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Phil Foden 1' goal
  • Josko Gvardiol 25' goal
  • Matheus Nunes 55' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 57' yellowcard
  • Josko Gvardiol 66' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 87' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 90'+1' goal
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 58'
  • goal Lukas Nmecha 68'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Man City
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Ilkay Gundogan 19' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 27' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 85'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Leeds
Dec 28, 2022 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Pascal Struijk 73' goal
  • goal Rodri 45'+1'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 51'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 64'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Leeds
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Junior Firpo 6' yellowcard
  • Jesse Marsch 67' yellowcard
  • goal Rodri 13'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 14'
  • goal Nathan Ake 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 68'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 78'
  • goal Fernandinho 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Man City
Dec 14, 2021 8.00pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Leeds
  • Phil Foden 8' goal
  • Jack Grealish 13' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 32' goal
  • Ruben Dias 40' yellowcard
  • Riyad Mahrez 49' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 62' goal
  • John Stones 74' goal
  • Nathan Ake 78' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 20'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Man City
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Leeds
  • Nathan Ake 35' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 76' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 83' yellowcard
  • Fernandinho 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Stuart Dallas 42'
  • redcard Liam Cooper 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 66'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 90'+1'

Form Data

Aston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds
Birmingham 1 - 1 Leeds
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 0 Salford City
Man City 3 - 0 Fulham
Liverpool 1 - 2 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Newcastle
Spurs 2 - 2 Man City

Build-up

News
News
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