Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 27.61% and a draw has a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 1-0 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.86%).