Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Barcelona

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 25.97% and a draw has a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.83%) and 0-1 (6.37%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.54%).

Result

Newcastle United 25.97% (-0.32)
Draw 20.82% (-0.06)
Barcelona 53.24% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.48% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.87%
Under 1.5 14.13%
Over 2.5 67.47% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 32.53% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 46.79% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 53.21% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 31.06% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 68.94% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 26.79% (-0.02)
Draw 37.18% (-0.03)
Barcelona 36.03% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 40.69% (-0.20)
No Goal 3.39% (+0.02)
Barcelona 55.92% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 61.4% (+0.30)
Equal 8 10.3% (-0.03)
Under 8 28.31% (-0.27)
Over 9 50.61% (+0.32)
Equal 9 10.79% (-0.02)
Under 9 38.6% (-0.30)
Over 10.5 40.16% (+0.30)
Under 10.5 59.84% (-0.30)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 34.87% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 65.13% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 15.18% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 84.82% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 5.45% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 94.55% (+0.13)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 82.84% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 17.16% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 58.86% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 41.14% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 33.78% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 66.22% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 16.5% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 83.5% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 25.98%
Draw 20.82%
Barcelona 53.24%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 5.97% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.95% (-0.13)
Total : 25.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.39% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.5% (-0.02)
Total : 20.82%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 8.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.83% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.37% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.34% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.43% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.41%
Other @ 16% (+0.16)
Total : 53.24%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups