Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 67' yellowcard
  • Tino Livramento 67' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 67' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 86' goal
  • Joe Willock 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Olmo 70'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 70'
  • yellowcard Marc Casadó 73'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 88'
  • yellowcard Xavi Espart 88'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+6'

Newcastle United vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Barcelona

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.84%) and 0-1 (6.37%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (5.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 25.91% (-0.06)
Draw 20.82%
Barcelona 53.3% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.45% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.86% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.14% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 67.47%
Under 2.5 32.53%
Over 3.5 46.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 53.23% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 31.04% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 68.96% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 26.79%
Draw 37.18%
Barcelona 36.03%

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 40.69%
No Goal 3.4% (+0.01)
Barcelona 55.91% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.41% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.3%
Under 8 28.29% (-0.02)
Over 9 50.62% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.79%
Under 9 38.59% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 40.16%
Under 10.5 59.84%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 34.79% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.21% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.13% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.87% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5.43% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.57% (+0.02)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 82.86% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.14% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 58.9% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.1% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 33.81% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 66.19% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 16.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 83.47% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 25.91%
Draw 20.82%
Barcelona 53.3%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 4.93% (-0.03)
Total : 25.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.82%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 8.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 6.34%
0-3 @ 4.45% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 16.03% (+0.04)
Total : 53.3%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT

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