Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.69% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%) , while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (3.09%).