Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.64%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 20.91% and a draw had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (4.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.