Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 2-1 (4.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.