Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.