Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.28% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%) , while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.