Champions League
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Malik Tillman 12' goal
  • Malik Tillman 35' goal
  • Alex Grimaldo 57' goal
  • Alejandro Grimaldo 57' goal
  • Arthur 62' yellowcard
  • Christian Michel Kofane 62' yellowcard
  • Christian Kofane 62' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 70' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 70' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georges Mikautadze 46'
  • yellowcard Hugo Lopez 46'
  • yellowcard Hugo López Cortés 46'
  • yellowcard Hugo López 46'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 65'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Budesca López 69'
  • yellowcard Daniel Budesca 69'
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 83'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Villarreal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Villarreal 1 - 2 Ajax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 41.53% (+0.19)
Draw 23.46% (-0.01)
Villarreal 35.01% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.44% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.68% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.32% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.55% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.45% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.92% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 62.08% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 23.44% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 76.56% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 29.51% (-0.03)
Draw 43.91% (+0.03)
Villarreal 26.57% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 51.4% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.84%
Villarreal 43.76% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.91% (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.07% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.03% (-0.23)
Over 9 45.7% (+0.24)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 43.1% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 35.24% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 64.76% (-0.20)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 45.88% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 54.12% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 21.92% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 78.08% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 8.88% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 91.12% (-0.11)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 69.92% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 30.08% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.45% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 59.55% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 17.87% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.13% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.36% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.64% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 41.53%
Draw 23.46%
Villarreal 35.01%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.58% (+0.11)
Total : 41.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.46%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.06% (-0.06)
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 17, 2016 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Admir Mehmedi 42' yellowcard
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 73' yellowcard
  • Karim Bellarabi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Rukavina 60'
  • yellowcard Cedric Bakambu 81'
Europa League
Mar 10, 2016 8.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cedric Bakambu 4' goal
  • Cedric Bakambu 56' goal
  • Manuel Trigueros 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 14'
  • yellowcard Javier Hernandez 48'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 76'
  • redcard Tin Jedvaj 95'