Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.