Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Olympiacos 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Villarreal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Villarreal 1 - 2 Ajax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 34.92% and a draw has a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 1-2 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.28%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 41.66% (+0.03)
Draw 23.45%
Villarreal 34.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.42% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.71% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 18.29% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.84% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 62.16% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.37% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.63% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 29.54%
Draw 43.89%
Villarreal 26.57%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 51.4%
No Goal 4.86% (+0.02)
Villarreal 43.74% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.16%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 32.75%
Over 9 44.98%
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 43.84%
Over 10.5 34.61%
Under 10.5 65.39%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 45.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.98% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.02% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.82% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.18% (+0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 69.93% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.07% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.41% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.59% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 17.8% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.2% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.35% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.65% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 41.67%
Draw 23.45%
Villarreal 34.92%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.23% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.52% (-0.01)
Total : 41.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.45%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 6.05% (-0.03)
Total : 34.92%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 17, 2016 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Admir Mehmedi 42' yellowcard
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 73' yellowcard
  • Karim Bellarabi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Rukavina 60'
  • yellowcard Cedric Bakambu 81'
Europa League
Mar 10, 2016 8.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cedric Bakambu 4' goal
  • Cedric Bakambu 56' goal
  • Manuel Trigueros 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 14'
  • yellowcard Javier Hernandez 48'
  • yellowcard Tin Jedvaj 76'
  • redcard Tin Jedvaj 95'