Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm

Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions

D
W
W
D
D
D

Bundesliga

D
W
W
D
D
D

Last game

Feb 20, 2026 7.30pm

Mainz 1 - 1 Hamburger SV

Goals scored

24

Top scorer

Ransford Königsdörffer

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

D
L
W
W
D
W

Bundesliga

L
W
D
W
W
L

Last game

Feb 21, 2026 2.30pm

Union Berlin 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Martin Terrier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen has a probability of 36.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result

Hamburger SV 38.1%

Draw 25.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen 36.89%

Both Teams to Score:

57.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 21.98% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 55.05% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 44.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 3.5 32.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 67.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 18.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 81.09% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 30.06%

Draw 39.76%

Bayer Leverkusen 30.18%

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 45% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen 49.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.18%

Equal 8 11.62%

Under 8 28.19%

Over 9 48.09%

Equal 9 12.09%

Under 9 39.82%

Over 10.5 36.61%

Under 10.5 63.39%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 40.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 59.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 17.14%

Under 2.5 82.86%

Over 3.5 5.94%

Under 3.5 94.06%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 71.66%

Under 0.5 28.34%

Over 1.5 39.7% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 60.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 16.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 83.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 5.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 94.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 38.09%

Draw 25.06%

Bayer Leverkusen 36.89%

Hamburger SV

2-1 @ 8.47%

1-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 5.78%

3-1 @ 4%

3-2 @ 3.05%

3-0 @ 2.78%

Other @ 5.73%

Total : 38.09%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.56%

2-2 @ 6.11%

0-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.02)

3-3 @ 1.37%

Other @ 0.21%

Total : 25.06%

Bayer Leverkusen

1-2 @ 8.19%

0-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 5.65%

1-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 2.65%

Other @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 36.89%

Head to Head

Feb 17, 2018 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Mergim Mavraj 11'
Andre Hahn 70'
Sejad Salihovic 77'

Leon Bailey 40'
Kai Havertz 50'
Panagiotis Retsos 53'
Charles Aranguiz 87'

Sep 24, 2017 5.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Kevin Volland 20'
Lucas Alario 23'
Wendell 41'
Charles Aranguiz 75'
Kevin Volland 83'

Walace 22'
Kyriakos Papadopoulos 26'

Feb 3, 2017 7.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Kyriakos Papadopoulos 76'

Karim Bellarabi 38'
Kevin Kampl 69'
Wendell 79'

Sep 10, 2016 2.30pm

3

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jonathan Tah 71'
Joel Pohjanpalo 79'
Kevin Kampl 90'
Joel Pohjanpalo 91'
Joel Pohjanpalo 94'

Bobby Wood 58'
Aaron Hunt 83'

Mar 13, 2016 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Albin Ekdal 0'
Marlon Frey 27'
Omer Toprak 34'
Wendell 49'
Tin Jedvaj 96'
Tin Jedvaj 96'
Robbie Kruse 97'

Ivo Ilicevic 23'
Nicolai Muller 31'

Oct 17, 2015 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Aaron Hunt 26'
Pierre-Michel Lasogga 31'
Albin Ekdal 38'
Ivo Ilicevic 59'
Marcelo Diaz 88'
Emir Spahic 91'

Javier Hernandez 74'
Tin Jedvaj 75'

Form Data

Mainz 1 - 1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin

Heidenheim 0 - 2 Hamburger SV

Aarhus Fremad 0 - 0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern

St Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV

B. Leverkusen 0 - 0 Olympiacos

Union Berlin 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Olympiacos 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen

B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 St Pauli

Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen

B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 St Pauli