Bundesliga Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT BayArena
St Pauli
  • Jarell Quansah 13' goal
  • Jarell Quansah  13' goal
  • Patrik Schick 14' goal
  • Malik Tillman 46' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 52' goal
  • Arthur 59' yellowcard
  • Christian Kofane 59' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 72' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 78' goal
  • Martin Terrier 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Chima Fujita 69'
  • yellowcard Taichi Hara 69'
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 82'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 82'
  • yellowcard Karol Mets 90'+2'

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
St Pauli 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Andréas Hountondji

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 0-1 (4.3%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 69.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 19.2%
St Pauli 11.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.89%
Under 2.5 47.11%
Over 3.5 31.01%
Under 3.5 68.99%
Over 4.5 20.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.22% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 49.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 36.23% ▼ (-0.08)
St Pauli 14.44% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 69.38% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 6.48% ▼ (-0.04)
St Pauli 24.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 29.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 47.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 40.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 60.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 34.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 65.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 15.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 84.06% ▲ (+0.02)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 42.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 57.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 13.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 3.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.71%
Under 3.5 99.29%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 69.16%
Draw 19.2%
St Pauli 11.64%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 13.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 69.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 19.2%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 11.64%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
B. Leverkusen
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
St Pauli
  • Martin Terrier 32' goal
  • Aleix García 44' yellowcard
  • Arthur 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernández 58' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 63' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 65' yellowcard
  • Loic Bade 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Michel Kofane 89' yellowcard
  • Loïc Badé 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Kofane 89' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Joel Chima Fujita 20'
  • yellowcard Ricky Jade-Jones 46'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 46'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Jade Jones 46'
  • yellowcard T. Ando 50'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 68'
  • yellowcard Taichi Hara 80'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
St Pauli
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
B. Leverkusen
  • Hauke Wahl 32' goal
  • Joel Chima Fujita 50' yellowcard
  • Eric Smith 86' yellowcard
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah  21'
  • goal Edmond Tapsoba 25'
  • goal Ernest Poku 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vázquez 60'
  • yellowcard Kasper Hjulmand 85'
  • yellowcard Loïc Badé 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Fernández 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Christian Kofane 90'+9'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
St Pauli
Apr 20, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
B. Leverkusen
  • Carlo Boukhalfa 78' goal
  • Eric Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 32'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
St Pauli
  • Florian Wirtz 6' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 21' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 37'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 75'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 84'
  • yellowcard Adam Dzwigala 90'+3'

Form Data

Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 St Pauli
Frankfurt 1 - 3 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 Villarreal
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Olympiacos 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen
St Pauli 2 - 1 Stuttgart
B. Leverkusen 3 - 0 St Pauli
Augsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
St Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
St Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV
Dortmund 3 - 2 St Pauli