Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2026 2.30pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Martin Terrier

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 2.30pm
St Pauli 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw has a probability of 19.19% and a win for St Pauli has a probability of 11.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.73%) , while for a St Pauli win it is 0-1 (4.28%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 69.16% (-0.05)
Draw 19.19% (-0.26)
St Pauli 11.62% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.11% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 24.2% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 52.91% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 47.09% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 31% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 69% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 20.78% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 79.22% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 49.32% (-0.22)
Draw 36.24% (+0.04)
St Pauli 14.45% (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 69.35% (-0.25)
No Goal 6.5% (-0.09)
St Pauli 24.15% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 59.24% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.03)
Under 8 29.37% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.51% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.02)
Under 9 40.76% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 36.42% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 63.58% (-0.13)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 60.6% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 39.4% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 34.31% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 65.69% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 15.95% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 84.05% (-0.32)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 42.68%
Under 0.5 57.32%
Over 1.5 13.93% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 86.07% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 3.42% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 96.58% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 0.71% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 99.29% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 69.17%
Draw 19.18%
St Pauli 11.62%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 13.39% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 12.61% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 8.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.17% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.04)
Other @ 15.9% (+0.33)
Total : 69.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 19.18%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 4.28% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.08% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.55% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.66% (+0.07)
Total : 11.62%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Martin Terrier 31' goal
  • Arthur 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernandez 58' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 63' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 65' yellowcard
  • Loic Bade 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Michel Kofane 89' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ricky Jade-Jones 46'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 46'
  • yellowcard Jackson Irvine 68'
  • yellowcard Taichi Hara 80'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 89'
Bundesliga
Sep 27, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Carlo Boukhalfa 78' goal
  • Eric Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 32'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 63'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 64'
  • yellowcard Lukas Hradecky 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 6' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 21' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 37'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 75'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 84'
  • yellowcard Adam Dzwigala 90'+3'