Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 0-1 (4.3%).