Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Volkswagen Arena
  • Christian Eriksen 25' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 61' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 73' yellowcard
  • Kilian Fischer 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Paredes 83' yellowcard
  • Mattias Svanberg 83' yellowcard
  • Dzenan Pejcinovic 88' goal
  • goal Eric Smith 40'
  • yellowcard Louis Oppie 68'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 68'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 90'

Wolfsburg vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm
Bayern 8 - 1 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Dzenan Pejcinovic

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 2.30pm
Mainz 0 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Wolfsburg 38.27%
Draw 26.07%
St Pauli 35.65%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.19%
Under 1.5 25.81%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%
Over 3.5 27.72%
Under 3.5 72.28%
Over 4.5 14.98%
Under 4.5 85.02%

First Half Winner

Wolfsburg 29.99%
Draw 44.15%
St Pauli 25.86%

Team To Score First

Wolfsburg 47.39%
No Goal 7.09%
St Pauli 45.52%

Corners

Over 8 60.44%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 28.28%
Over 9 48.7%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 39.56%
Over 10.5 37.53%
Under 10.5 62.47%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 1.5 37.66%
Under 1.5 62.34%
Over 2.5 14.9%
Under 2.5 85.1%
Over 3.5 4.74%
Under 3.5 95.26%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 69.16%
Under 0.5 30.84%
Over 1.5 35.74%
Under 1.5 64.26%
Over 2.5 13.54%
Under 2.5 86.46%
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Score analysis

Wolfsburg 38.26%
Draw 26.08%
St Pauli 35.65%
Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 38.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.08%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 5.91%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 46' yellowcard
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 70' goal
  • goal Siebe Van der Heyden 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaminski 76'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 82'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'